IEX
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- IEX −1.19% on the last session vs SPY +0.32%: −1.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices IEX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
240.91 +1.0% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
243.77 +2.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 235.77 · prior close 238.62 | |
| Bargain buy side |
236.35 -1.0% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
233.58 -2.1% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 235.62 | 2 in 10 days | 241.66 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 236.35 | 3 in 10 days | 240.91 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 237.04 | 4 in 10 days | 240.22 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 231.96 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 245.47 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 233.58 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 243.77 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 235.09 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 242.20 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IEX's daily swings (about 1.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among IEX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 280.00 +18.8% |
| Mean analyst target | 255.93 +8.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 243.77 +3.4% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 12, 2026 |
239.76 +1.7% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
238.62 +1.2% |
| Now | 235.77 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 233.58 -0.9% |
| 50-day average | 230.13 -2.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 215.00 -8.8% |
| 200-day average | 211.99 -10.1% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 18, 2025 |
159.49 -32.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 37 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.