IMOS
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices IMOS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
57.18 +5.1% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
60.82 +11.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 54.39 | |
| Bargain buy side |
51.74 -4.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
48.64 -10.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 50.90 | 2 in 10 days | 58.11 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 51.74 | 3 in 10 days | 57.18 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 52.53 | 4 in 10 days | 56.32 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 46.90 | 2 in 10 weeks | 63.07 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 48.64 | 3 in 10 weeks | 60.82 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 50.31 | 4 in 10 weeks | 58.80 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IMOS's daily swings (about 5.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -11.0% | +7.2% | — | — |
| Oct 14, 2026 | -4.2% | -9.9% | — | — |
| Sep 29, 2026 | -5.3% | +15.7% | -8.5% | — |
| Sep 10, 2026 | -4.1% | -1.6% | +38.8% | — |
| Aug 12, 2026 | -4.7% | -7.1% | -2.0% | — |
| Jul 28, 2026 | -9.6% | +5.6% | +15.2% | +15.9% |
| Jul 20, 2026 | -8.3% | -12.9% | -15.0% | -2.6% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -9.2% | -2.1% | -22.5% | +17.6% |
Big drop and big gain: among IMOS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 2, 2026 |
83.30 +53.2% |
| 50-day average | 63.02 +15.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 60.82 +11.8% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
54.39 |
| 200-day average | 52.48 -3.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 48.64 -10.6% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
20.82 -61.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 23 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.