INGM
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- INGM −0.96% on the last session vs SPY −0.09%: −0.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices INGM only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
27.77 +2.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
28.62 +5.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 26.85 · prior close 27.11 | |
| Bargain buy side |
26.46 -2.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
25.68 -5.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 26.26 | 2 in 10 days | 27.99 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 26.46 | 3 in 10 days | 27.77 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 26.66 | 4 in 10 days | 27.57 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 25.24 | 2 in 10 weeks | 29.12 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 25.68 | 3 in 10 weeks | 28.62 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 26.11 | 4 in 10 weeks | 28.15 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From INGM's daily swings (about 2.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | -3.2% | -0.4% | — | — |
| Sep 24, 2026 | -3.5% | +5.5% | — | — |
| Sep 9, 2026 | -7.5% | -0.6% | +5.1% | — |
| Jul 31, 2026 | -7.2% | +0.7% | +0.2% | — |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -2.9% | +4.6% | -0.6% | -0.8% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | -5.6% | +13.3% | +8.8% | +8.7% |
| Jun 16, 2026 | -3.4% | -5.0% | +0.7% | -9.9% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -3.9% | +0.8% | -6.7% | -2.0% |
Big drop and big gain: among INGM's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 2, 2026 |
31.54 +17.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 28.62 +6.6% |
| 50-day average | 27.62 +2.9% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
27.11 +1.0% |
| Now | 26.85 |
| 200-day average | 25.93 -3.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 25.68 -4.3% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 17, 2025 |
19.32 -28.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 2 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.