IQV
Moving with its group (XLV +2.3%)
- IQV +3.19% on the last session vs SPY +0.05%: +3.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.3% (+2.2 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, big gain (+3.2% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.6%): After its 65 big gains in the past 5 years, IQV was higher a week later 30 times out of 65; half the outcomes fell between -3.5% and +2.7%. History, not a forecast.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (2 positive, 0 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Overweight, raised target $275 → $300.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices IQV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
266.16 +1.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
271.38 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 270.36 · prior close 262.01 | |
| Bargain buy side |
257.92 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
252.96 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 256.61 | 2 in 10 days | 267.52 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 257.92 | 3 in 10 days | 266.16 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 259.15 | 4 in 10 days | 264.90 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 250.09 | 2 in 10 weeks | 274.50 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 252.96 | 3 in 10 weeks | 271.38 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 255.67 | 4 in 10 weeks | 268.51 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IQV's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among IQV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 345.00 +27.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 295.05 +9.1% |
| All-time closing high Dec 30, 2021 |
282.61 +4.5% |
| 52-week closing high Sep 24, 2026 |
275.02 +1.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 271.38 +0.4% |
| Now | 270.36 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
262.01 -3.1% |
| 50-day average | 259.32 -4.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 252.96 -6.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 250.00 -7.5% |
| 200-day average | 207.54 -23.2% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 29, 2026 |
156.66 -42.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 13 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.