IRON
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices IRON only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
86.16 +6.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
93.22 +15.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 79.93 · prior close 80.84 | |
| Bargain buy side |
75.85 -6.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
70.11 -13.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 74.30 | 2 in 10 days | 87.96 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 75.85 | 3 in 10 days | 86.16 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 77.33 | 4 in 10 days | 84.51 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 66.94 | 2 in 10 weeks | 97.63 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 70.11 | 3 in 10 weeks | 93.22 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 73.20 | 4 in 10 weeks | 89.28 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IRON's daily swings (about 6.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among IRON's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Mar 15, 2021 |
540.00 +575.5% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 24, 2025 |
94.11 +17.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 93.22 +16.6% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
80.84 +1.1% |
| Now | 79.93 |
| 50-day average | 71.37 -10.7% |
| 200-day average | 70.73 -11.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 70.11 -12.3% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2026 |
55.74 -30.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.