IT
Analyst target raises behind the outperformance
- IT +5.92% on the last session vs SPY −0.03%: +5.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+5.9% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.5%): After its 61 big gains in the past 5 years, IT was higher a day later 30 times out of 61; half the outcomes fell between -1.7% and +0.8%. History, not a forecast.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (2 positive, 0 negative); latest: Morgan Stanley maintained Equal-Weight, raised target $177 → $182.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices IT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
201.70 +3.0% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
209.28 +6.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 207.36 · prior close 195.77 | |
| Bargain buy side |
190.02 -2.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
183.13 -6.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 188.18 | 2 in 10 days | 203.66 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 190.02 | 3 in 10 days | 201.70 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 191.74 | 4 in 10 days | 199.89 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 179.21 | 2 in 10 weeks | 213.86 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 183.13 | 3 in 10 weeks | 209.28 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 186.87 | 4 in 10 weeks | 205.09 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IT's daily swings (about 3.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among IT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Nov 13, 2024 |
551.80 +166.1% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 21, 2025 |
258.17 +24.5% |
| Highest analyst target | 229.00 +10.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 209.28 +0.9% |
| Now | 207.36 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
195.77 -5.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 189.08 -8.8% |
| 50-day average | 188.29 -9.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 183.13 -11.7% |
| 200-day average | 170.50 -17.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 150.00 -27.7% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 22, 2026 |
125.73 -39.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 33 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.