JBHT
Moving with the market
- JBHT +0.43% on the last session vs SPY −0.04%: +0.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings today after the close: EPS $1.81 expected (22 analysts); it moved ±7.2% on average after its last 8 reports.
- 5 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 5 negative); latest: Stifel maintained Hold, lowered target $292 → $289.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices JBHT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
237.88 +2.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
245.14 +5.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 233.15 · prior close 232.16 | |
| Bargain buy side |
226.58 -2.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
219.86 -5.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 224.79 | 2 in 10 days | 239.77 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 226.58 | 3 in 10 days | 237.88 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 228.25 | 4 in 10 days | 236.13 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 216.01 | 2 in 10 weeks | 249.51 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 219.86 | 3 in 10 weeks | 245.14 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 223.52 | 4 in 10 weeks | 241.14 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From JBHT's daily swings (about 2.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among JBHT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 330.00 +41.5% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 16, 2026 |
297.91 +27.8% |
| Mean analyst target | 283.13 +21.4% |
| 50-day average | 252.32 +8.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 245.14 +5.1% |
| 200-day average | 244.30 +4.8% |
| Now | 233.15 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
232.16 -0.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 219.86 -5.7% |
| Lowest analyst target | 182.00 -21.9% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 15, 2025 |
137.70 -40.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 43 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.