JCI
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices JCI only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
153.02 +2.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
158.11 +6.1% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 149.03 | |
| Bargain buy side |
145.14 -2.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
140.47 -5.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 143.90 | 2 in 10 days | 154.34 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 145.14 | 3 in 10 days | 153.02 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 146.31 | 4 in 10 days | 151.80 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 137.80 | 2 in 10 weeks | 161.17 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 140.47 | 3 in 10 weeks | 158.11 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 143.01 | 4 in 10 weeks | 155.30 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From JCI's daily swings (about 2.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | -3.2% | -3.1% | — | — |
| Oct 7, 2026 | -1.8% | -2.2% | — | — |
| Sep 14, 2026 | -5.7% | +5.7% | +13.9% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -1.8% | +3.8% | +7.3% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -2.8% | -5.3% | -5.8% | — |
| Jul 28, 2026 | -2.2% | +9.5% | +2.9% | +5.4% |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -1.7% | -0.2% | +6.1% | +9.9% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | -2.8% | +1.5% | +4.0% | +8.1% |
Big drop and big gain: among JCI's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 201.00 +34.9% |
| Mean analyst target | 174.85 +17.3% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 6, 2026 |
158.76 +6.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 158.11 +6.1% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
149.03 |
| 50-day average | 147.23 -1.2% |
| 200-day average | 140.50 -5.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 140.47 -5.7% |
| Lowest analyst target | 136.00 -8.7% |
| 52-week closing low Jan 9, 2026 |
109.90 -26.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 39 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.