JKHY
Moving with the market
- JKHY +0.10% on the last session vs SPY +0.03%: +0.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg (Oct 14): After its 15 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, JKHY was higher a week later 9 times out of 15; half the outcomes fell between -1.8% and +2.5%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Piper Sandler upgraded to Overweight, target $175.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices JKHY only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
157.93 +1.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
161.29 +3.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 155.41 · prior close 155.26 | |
| Bargain buy side |
152.64 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
149.46 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 151.80 | 2 in 10 days | 158.80 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 152.64 | 3 in 10 days | 157.93 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 153.43 | 4 in 10 days | 157.11 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 147.62 | 2 in 10 weeks | 163.29 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 149.46 | 3 in 10 weeks | 161.29 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 151.19 | 4 in 10 weeks | 159.44 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From JKHY's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among JKHY's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 209.00 +34.5% |
| All-time closing high Aug 5, 2022 |
199.48 +28.4% |
| 52-week closing high Jan 14, 2026 |
190.35 +22.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 189.72 +22.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 161.29 +3.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 158.00 +1.7% |
| 50-day average | 156.11 +0.4% |
| Now | 155.41 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
155.26 -0.1% |
| 200-day average | 155.03 -0.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 149.46 -3.8% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 22, 2026 |
122.97 -20.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 41 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.