KEYS

Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• KEYS +2.88% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +2.1 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, 52-week high (Oct 1): After its 10 new 52-week highs in the past 5 years, KEYS typically gained 4.1% over the next month (median) and was higher 70% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -4.5% and +10.5%. An ordinary month: +1.2%. Among S&P 500 stocks after new 52-week highs, that ranks #125 of 480.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.