KHC

Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• KHC −1.20% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −1.9 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, crossed below 200-day avg (Sep 30): After its 12 crosses below the 200-day average in the past 5 years, KHC typically gained 0.7% over the next week (median) and was higher 67% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -0.6% and +2.8%. An ordinary week: -0.1%. Among S&P 500 stocks after crosses below the 200-day average, that ranks #95 of 497.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.