KRC
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- KRC +3.57% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: +3.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Oct 22 after the close: EPS $0.89 expected (3 analysts).
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices KRC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
33.81 +1.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
34.44 +3.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 34.49 · prior close 33.30 | |
| Bargain buy side |
32.80 -1.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
32.19 -3.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 32.64 | 2 in 10 days | 33.97 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 32.80 | 3 in 10 days | 33.81 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 32.95 | 4 in 10 days | 33.65 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 31.84 | 2 in 10 weeks | 34.82 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 32.19 | 3 in 10 weeks | 34.44 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 32.52 | 4 in 10 weeks | 34.09 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From KRC's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | -2.7% | -4.6% | -4.4% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -3.5% | -0.8% | -0.4% | — |
| Jul 22, 2026 | -2.3% | +2.0% | -4.9% | — |
| Jun 17, 2026 | -5.1% | +3.8% | +11.2% | -3.4% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -3.6% | +6.7% | +4.2% | +21.9% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | -3.2% | -0.8% | +15.0% | +33.7% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | -3.7% | -4.4% | -2.9% | +26.6% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | -3.2% | -5.0% | -8.3% | +10.9% |
Big drop and big gain: among KRC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Feb 14, 2020 |
62.68 +81.7% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 7, 2025 |
40.79 +18.3% |
| 50-day average | 34.93 +1.3% |
| Now | 34.49 |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 34.44 -0.1% |
| 200-day average | 33.67 -2.4% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
33.30 -3.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 32.19 -6.7% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 27, 2026 |
26.63 -22.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 30 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.