KSS
Moving with its classic meme stocks peers
- KSS +5.06% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +5.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Classic meme stocks basket +3.9% (+3.8 pts vs SPY; OPEN +9.3%, BYND +5.6%, GME +2.6%, AMC +2.6%): the stock moved with its peers.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices KSS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
21.75 +2.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
22.51 +6.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 22.22 · prior close 21.15 | |
| Bargain buy side |
20.57 -2.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
19.87 -6.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 20.38 | 2 in 10 days | 21.95 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 20.57 | 3 in 10 days | 21.75 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 20.74 | 4 in 10 days | 21.57 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 19.47 | 2 in 10 weeks | 22.98 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 19.87 | 3 in 10 weeks | 22.51 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 20.25 | 4 in 10 weeks | 22.09 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From KSS's daily swings (about 2.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among KSS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Nov 9, 2018 |
53.74 +141.9% |
| 52-week closing high Dec 2, 2025 |
23.98 +7.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 22.51 +1.3% |
| Now | 22.22 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
21.15 -4.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 19.87 -10.6% |
| 50-day average | 18.50 -16.8% |
| 200-day average | 16.63 -25.2% |
| 52-week closing low May 18, 2026 |
11.55 -48.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 34 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.