LAB
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- LAB +3.98% on the last session vs SPY +0.06%: +3.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices LAB only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
0.65 +3.3% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% reached today |
0.68 +7.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 0.66 · prior close 0.63 | |
| Bargain buy side |
0.61 -3.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
0.59 -7.0% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 0.60 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 0.66 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 0.61 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 0.65 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 0.62 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 0.64 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 0.57 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 0.69 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 0.59 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 0.68 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 0.60 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 0.66 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From LAB's daily swings (about 3.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | -5.3% | -5.6% | -2.8% | — |
| Jun 8, 2026 | -30.4% | +6.3% | +17.5% | -13.8% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | -6.3% | -1.1% | +2.2% | -16.7% |
| May 22, 2025 | -8.7% | +6.3% | +28.4% | +33.7% |
| Feb 7, 2025 | -2.8% | +2.2% | -17.4% | -22.5% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | -36.6% | +17.6% | +50.0% | +32.4% |
| Nov 7, 2022 | -9.8% | +44.6% | +23.8% | +105.0% |
| Sep 15, 2022 | -1.5% | -7.6% | -22.0% | +6.8% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among LAB's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Mar 5, 2014 |
48.89 +7363.0% |
| 52-week closing high Dec 22, 2025 |
1.68 +156.4% |
| 200-day average | 0.96 +46.3% |
| 50-day average | 0.70 +7.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 0.68 +3.4% |
| Now | 0.66 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2026 |
0.63 -3.8% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
0.63 -3.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 0.59 -10.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 16 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.