LCID
Reddit attention is surging
- LCID +4.56% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: +4.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Not a group move: its evs & autos peers +0.4% (+0.4 pts vs SPY).
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: RBC Capital maintained Sector Perform, lowered target $7.00 → $4.00.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices LCID only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
3.43 +4.2% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% reached today |
3.61 +9.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 3.44 · prior close 3.29 | |
| Bargain buy side |
3.16 -4.1% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
3.00 -8.9% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 3.11 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 3.48 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 3.16 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 3.43 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 3.20 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 3.39 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 2.91 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 3.72 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 3.00 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 3.61 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 3.08 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 3.51 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From LCID's daily swings (about 4.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | -6.5% | -15.4% | — | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | -6.2% | -6.2% | -7.9% | — |
| Jul 14, 2026 | -16.2% | +58.4% | +41.6% | -25.6% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -9.9% | +1.7% | +13.8% | -8.5% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -1.9% | +7.5% | +13.7% | +41.0% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | -5.1% | -0.7% | -37.6% | -30.7% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | -1.2% | +6.3% | +9.7% | -38.1% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | -3.9% | +13.1% | +0.2% | -26.9% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among LCID's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Feb 18, 2021 |
580.50 +16775.0% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 14, 2025 |
21.92 +537.2% |
| Highest analyst target | 17.00 +394.2% |
| Mean analyst target | 7.61 +121.3% |
| 200-day average | 7.30 +112.1% |
| 50-day average | 4.74 +37.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 3.61 +5.0% |
| Lowest analyst target | 3.50 +1.7% |
| Now | 3.44 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2026 |
3.29 -4.4% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
3.29 -4.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 3.00 -12.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.