LFST

R500#456 today EARNINGSThu BMO

$13.25 -1.12% today · +1.45% 1W

Nov 2 close or latest

Why it's movingUnderperforming without a clear catalyst yetReadout ›

Bargain & stretch prices

Prices LFST only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.

TodayNext 5 sessionsToday so far

	Today	Next 5 sessions
Stretch sell side	13.67 +2.0% reached 3 in 10 days	14.01 +4.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks
Now	13.25 · prior close 13.40
Bargain buy side	13.13 -2.0% reached 3 in 10 days	12.81 -4.4% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27%

More patient or more eager

	Bargain	Reached	Stretch	Reached
Today
Patient	13.05	2 in 10 days	13.76	2 in 10 days
Balanced	13.13	3 in 10 days	13.67	3 in 10 days
Eager	13.21	4 in 10 days	13.59	5 in 10 days
Next 5 sessions
Patient	12.63	2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18%	14.22	2 in 10 weeks
Balanced	12.81	3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27%	14.01	3 in 10 weeks
Eager	12.99	4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43%	13.83	5 in 10 weeks

"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From LFST's daily swings (about 2.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.

Situations on the Oct 30 close

Within 2% of its 52-week high odds adjusted

Near its 52-week high, the 5-session bargain price was reached a little more often than usual, so the bargain & stretch odds above are adjusted (marked in gold):

Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)

Big drop and big gain: among LFST's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.

Price ladder

All-time closing high Jul 7, 2021	28.95 +118.5%
Stretch, next 5 sessions	14.01 +5.8%
52-week closing high Oct 29, 2026	13.64 +2.9%
Previous close Oct 30, 2026	13.40 +1.1%
Now	13.25
Bargain, next 5 sessions	12.81 -3.3%
50-day average	12.50 -5.7%
200-day average	9.37 -29.3%
52-week closing low Nov 5, 2025	4.81 -63.7%

Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.