LTC
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices LTC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
45.46 +1.6% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 28% |
46.36 +3.6% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 27% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 44.71 · prior close 44.75 | |
| Bargain buy side |
44.05 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
43.20 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 43.82 | 2 in 10 days | 45.69 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 44.05 | 3 in 10 days | 45.46 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 28% |
| Eager | 44.26 | 4 in 10 days | 45.24 | 4 in 10 days↓ 43% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 42.71 | 2 in 10 weeks | 46.89 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 43.20 | 3 in 10 weeks | 46.36 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 27% vs 30% |
| Eager | 43.66 | 4 in 10 weeks | 45.86 | 5 in 10 weeks↓ 45% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From LTC's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 27% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | +0.8% | +0.6% | — | — |
| Sep 9, 2026 | +1.3% | +1.2% | -0.7% | — |
| Jul 13, 2026 | +2.1% | +5.7% | -3.5% | +8.5% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | +1.9% | -5.5% | -7.2% | -4.9% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | +1.5% | -1.2% | +6.2% | +7.4% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | +6.0% | -0.4% | +2.1% | -8.2% |
| Jul 11, 2024 | +1.7% | +4.6% | +3.0% | +3.2% |
| May 9, 2024 | +1.3% | +1.6% | -0.9% | +7.3% |
Big drop and big gain: among LTC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 46.36 +3.7% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 30, 2026 |
44.75 +0.1% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
44.75 +0.1% |
| Now | 44.71 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 43.20 -3.4% |
| 50-day average | 42.33 -5.3% |
| 200-day average | 38.68 -13.5% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 22, 2025 |
32.31 -27.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 34 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.