MA
Mastercard Incorporated · Financial Services · Credit Services
TECHNeutralZACKSHold
R500#212 today
$552.26
+0.41% today · -2.71% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Moving with the market
- MA +0.41% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −0.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Sep 30): After its 53 big drops in the past 5 years, MA typically gained 1.3% over the next week (median) and was higher 62% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.3% and +3.1%. An ordinary week: +0.4%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #51 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 29
Before the open · in 25 days
EPS estimate
$5.15
$5.03 to $5.24 · 30 analysts
Revenue estimate
$9.6B
$9.3B to $9.7B
Track record
8/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±2.3% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $4.78 | $5.04 | +$0.26 (+5.5%) beat | $9.3B | +2.5% +0.8 vs SPY | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| Apr 30, 2026 BMO | 1Q2026 | $4.41 | $4.60 | +$0.19 (+4.2%) beat | $8.4B | -4.2% -5.2 vs SPY | -4.0% | -6.3% |
| Jan 29, 2026 BMO | 4Q2025 | $4.24 | $4.76 | +$0.52 (+12.3%) beat | $8.8B | +4.3% +4.5 vs SPY | +2.0% | +6.2% |
| Oct 30, 2025 BMO | 3Q2025 | $4.31 | $4.38 | +$0.07 (+1.5%) beat | $8.6B | -0.2% +0.9 vs SPY | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| Jul 31, 2025 BMO | $4.02 | $4.15 | +$0.13 (+3.2%) beat | — | +1.3% +1.7 vs SPY | +1.7% | +1.8% | |
| May 1, 2025 BMO | $3.56 | $3.73 | +$0.17 (+4.8%) beat | — | -0.3% -1.0 vs SPY | +0.3% | +3.3% | |
| Jan 30, 2025 BMO | $3.69 | $3.82 | +$0.13 (+3.5%) beat | — | +3.1% +2.6 vs SPY | +1.1% | +3.2% | |
| Oct 31, 2024 BMO | $3.75 | $3.89 | +$0.14 (+3.7%) beat | — | -2.7% -0.8 vs SPY | +1.5% | +1.4% | |
| Jul 31, 2024 BMO | $3.51 | $3.59 | +$0.08 (+2.3%) beat | — | +3.6% +2.0 vs SPY | +3.2% | +0.2% | |
| May 1, 2024 BMO | $3.24 | $3.31 | +$0.07 (+2.2%) beat | — | -2.0% -1.7 vs SPY | -1.2% | +0.4% | |
| Jan 31, 2024 BMO | $3.08 | $3.18 | +$0.10 (+3.2%) beat | — | +0.9% +2.5 vs SPY | +1.1% | +3.4% | |
| Oct 26, 2023 BMO | $3.21 | $3.39 | +$0.18 (+5.6%) beat | — | -5.6% -4.4 vs SPY | -4.0% | -2.2% | |
| Jul 27, 2023 BMO | $2.83 | $2.89 | +$0.06 (+2.1%) beat | — | -2.0% -1.3 vs SPY | +0.7% | -3.1% | |
| Apr 27, 2023 BMO | $2.71 | $2.80 | +$0.09 (+3.3%) beat | — | +1.9% -0.1 vs SPY | -0.1% | +2.2% | |
| Jan 26, 2023 BMO | $2.58 | $2.65 | +$0.07 (+2.7%) beat | — | -1.4% -2.5 vs SPY | +0.3% | -2.2% | |
| Oct 27, 2022 BMO | $2.57 | $2.68 | +$0.11 (+4.3%) beat | — | 0.0% +0.5 vs SPY | -1.0% | +0.1% | |
| Jul 28, 2022 BMO | $2.36 | $2.56 | +$0.20 (+8.5%) beat | — | +2.7% +1.4 vs SPY | +1.4% | +3.2% | |
| Apr 28, 2022 BMO | $2.16 | $2.76 | +$0.60 (+27.8%) beat | — | +4.8% +2.2 vs SPY | +2.1% | +1.9% | |
| Jan 27, 2022 BMO | $2.21 | $2.35 | +$0.14 (+6.3%) beat | — | +1.7% +2.2 vs SPY | +1.3% | +15.1% | |
| Oct 28, 2021 BMO | $2.19 | $2.37 | +$0.18 (+8.2%) beat | — | -0.8% -1.8 vs SPY | +2.5% | -1.9% | |
| Jul 29, 2021 BMO | $1.75 | $1.95 | +$0.20 (+11.4%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 29, 2021 BMO | $1.56 | $1.74 | +$0.18 (+11.5%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 28, 2021 BMO | $1.52 | $1.64 | +$0.12 (+7.9%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 28, 2020 BMO | $1.66 | $1.60 | −$0.06 (−3.6%) miss | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $5.15 (30) | $5.03 – $5.24 | +18% | +0.7% | ▲22 ▼5 | $9.6B | +12% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $5.17 (29) | $5.03 – $5.43 | +9% | -0.8% | ▲9 ▼18 | $10.0B | +13% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $19.93 (37) | $19.64 – $20.20 | +17% | +1.4% | ▲33 ▼1 | $37.3B | +14% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $23.02 (38) | $22.28 – $23.56 | +16% | +1.1% | ▲31 ▼2 | $42.0B | +13% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.