MBGL
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices MBGL only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
19.32 +2.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
19.84 +4.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 19.12 · prior close 18.91 | |
| Bargain buy side |
18.51 -2.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
18.02 -4.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 18.38 | 2 in 10 days | 19.46 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 18.51 | 3 in 10 days | 19.32 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 18.63 | 4 in 10 days | 19.20 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 17.75 | 2 in 10 weeks | 20.15 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 18.02 | 3 in 10 weeks | 19.84 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 18.29 | 4 in 10 weeks | 19.55 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From MBGL's daily swings (about 2.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among MBGL's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 29, 2026 |
22.93 +19.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 19.84 +3.8% |
| Now | 19.12 |
| 50-day average | 19.00 -0.6% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
18.91 -1.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 18.02 -5.7% |
| 52-week closing low Sep 30, 2026 |
17.15 -10.3% |
Closing prices. Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.