MBX
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices MBX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
57.78 +3.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
60.24 +7.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 55.88 · prior close 55.87 | |
| Bargain buy side |
54.02 -3.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
51.82 -7.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 53.43 | 2 in 10 days | 58.42 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 54.02 | 3 in 10 days | 57.78 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 54.57 | 4 in 10 days | 57.20 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 50.57 | 2 in 10 weeks | 61.73 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 51.82 | 3 in 10 weeks | 60.24 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 53.01 | 4 in 10 weeks | 58.88 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From MBX's daily swings (about 3.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among MBX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 4, 2026 |
70.70 +26.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 60.24 +7.8% |
| 50-day average | 57.61 +3.1% |
| Now | 55.88 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
55.87 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 51.82 -7.3% |
| 200-day average | 45.65 -18.3% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 3, 2025 |
20.61 -63.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 2 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.