MCO

Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• MCO −1.34% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −2.1 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, rsi oversold (Oct 2): After its 8 oversold readings in the past 5 years, MCO typically lost 0.7% over the next day (median) and was higher only 38% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.6% and +1.3%. An ordinary day: +0.1%. Among S&P 500 stocks after oversold readings, that ranks #374 of 496.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.