MET
Moving with the market
- MET −0.24% on the last session vs SPY +0.00%: −0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, 52-week high (Oct 12): After its 11 new 52-week highs in the past 5 years, MET was higher a week later 7 times out of 11; half the outcomes fell between -2.4% and +1.7%. History, not a forecast.
- 4 analyst actions in the past 10 days (3 positive, 1 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Overweight, raised target $97.00 → $111.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices MET only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
100.98 +1.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
102.56 +2.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 99.48 · prior close 99.72 | |
| Bargain buy side |
98.47 -1.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
96.95 -2.8% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 98.07 | 2 in 10 days | 101.40 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 98.47 | 3 in 10 days | 100.98 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 98.85 | 4 in 10 days | 100.60 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 96.07 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 103.51 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 96.95 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 102.56 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 97.78 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 101.69 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From MET's daily swings (about 1.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among MET's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 119.00 +19.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 107.19 +7.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 102.56 +3.1% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 13, 2026 |
100.65 +1.2% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
99.72 +0.2% |
| Now | 99.48 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 96.95 -2.5% |
| 50-day average | 96.84 -2.7% |
| Lowest analyst target | 84.00 -15.6% |
| 200-day average | 83.83 -15.7% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 27, 2026 |
66.77 -32.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 26 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.