META
Moving with the market
- META +0.30% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −0.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Sep 28): After its 52 big drops in the past 5 years, META typically gained 1.0% over the next week (median) and was higher 60% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -3.2% and +4.4%. An ordinary week: +0.5%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #120 of 500.
- 12 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 74% positive over the week.
- 8 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
What Reddit is saying
Swing trading options with 3-6 month expiration mainly..META made me a good chunk starting out and then I moved into AMD at the tariff lows..Had I held that would've been a multimillion dollar position off the blow off top..I then bought back into AMD, caught the breakouts on Bitcoin and software recently, etc..It's definitely been much more difficult to consistently make money this year IMO.META rapes you and the government collects a penalty.I am a profitable trader who has been profiting in the 6 figure range for several years..Simply put, $1000 isn't enough to day trade with..You can't even buy two full META shares or one SNDK share.My META put spreads limit order filled like 5 seconds before Hulk showed up, resulting in a 20% gain instead of a catastrophic loss.
Top comments, summarized
- META made me a good chunk starting out and then I moved into AMD at the tariff lows.
- Had I held that would've been a multimillion dollar position off the blow off top.
- I then bought back into AMD, caught the breakouts on Bitcoin and software recently, etc.
- It's definitely been much more difficult to consistently make money this year IMO.
- Simply put, $1000 isn't enough to day trade with.
- You can't even buy two full META shares or one SNDK share.
- >kick Zuckerberg out (voting shares can't protect you if a board breaches fiduciary duty by rejecting a buyout way above market value), liquidate the assets, and pocket the cash.
- The market bids the price up because the asset itself is valuable, just like gold or real estate.
- Again, like I've told other commenters, gold and real estate aren't comparable to business ownership.
- When other forms of currency become risky, people bid up the price of Gold.
- Shares of business ownership have value as assets because they provide cash flow to owners.
- Agree with the core point, but I'd frame it less as Wall Street hiding things and more as narrative vs. numbers.
- * **Valuation:** AMZN trades at \~19.6x trailing earnings and 3.4x sales.
- On pure fundamentals it's not close, yet TSLA carries a $1.4T market cap on the robotaxi/AI story.
- AMZN's free cash flow is slightly negative right now (FCF margin around -1.5%) because of AI capex, same as META.
- The AI rally is basically a bet on whether all this spending turns into cash flow.
- Releases some personalized AI agent that everyone else also has or just announced.
- As long as these hyperscalers (AMZN, META, GOOG, and MSFT) are raking in profits from their core business, then NVDA holds the top spot.
- Back then, there were a lot of hopes and dreams that these companies could turn a profit.
- Right now, there's no hope because profits are reported.
- So, for the markets to drop, you'll need to hear META, MSFT, AMZN, and GOOG tell its investors that capex is decreasing.
- Looks like Zuck is just getting started on his version of AI.
Day by day
| Date | Close | Change | R500 | Mentions | Positive | Upvotes | Voted sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 04 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 2.8 | |||
| Sat Oct 03 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 | |||
| Fri Oct 02 | 728.08 | +0.30% | #236 | 20 | 14 | 22 | -1.4 |
| Thu Oct 01 | 725.93 | +0.10% | #284 | 35 | 28 | 35 | 4.8 |
| Wed Sep 30 | 725.18 | -1.84% | #428 | 60 | 41 | 72 | 5.8 |
| Tue Sep 29 | 738.79 | +3.24% | #19 | 72 | 47 | 81 | -3.0 |
| Mon Sep 28 | 715.62 | -4.79% | #496 | 113 | 90 | 121 | 7.0 |
| Sun Sep 27 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 4.0 | |||
| Sat Sep 26 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 9.8 | |||
| Fri Sep 25 | 751.66 | -3.33% | #491 | 168 | 118 | 200 | 2.4 |
| Thu Sep 24 | 777.59 | +4.50% | #8 | 342 | 243 | 434 | -8.6 |
| Wed Sep 23 | 744.10 | +1.02% | #60 | 192 | 146 | 214 | 6.9 |
| Tue Sep 22 | 736.60 | -0.63% | #329 | 199 | 138 | 537 | 236.5 |
| Mon Sep 21 | 741.25 | +11.43% | #4 | 288 | 210 | 384 | 23.4 |
| Sun Sep 20 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20.0 | |||
| Sat Sep 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -0.2 | |||
| Fri Sep 18 | 665.23 | -2.43% | #458 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0.6 |
| Thu Sep 17 | 681.77 | +1.34% | #122 | 15 | 10 | 18 | -1.5 |
| Wed Sep 16 | 672.78 | +0.46% | #101 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -1.7 |
| Tue Sep 15 | 669.71 | +0.70% | #87 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 0.0 |
| Mon Sep 14 | 665.08 | +2.71% | #60 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1.1 |
| Sun Sep 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0.2 | |||
| Sat Sep 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | |||
| Fri Sep 11 | 647.52 | +0.57% | #243 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 3.0 |
| Thu Sep 10 | 643.87 | -1.42% | #363 | 17 | 13 | 19 | 1.0 |
| Wed Sep 09 | 653.17 | +6.55% | #2 | 16 | 13 | 32 | 12.4 |
| Tue Sep 08 | 613.00 | -0.53% | #199 | 46 | 38 | 54 | 0.6 |
| Mon Sep 07 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 | |||
| Sun Sep 06 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 | |||
| Sat Sep 05 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 |