MFG
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices MFG only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
9.85 +1.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
10.08 +4.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 9.77 · prior close 9.66 | |
| Bargain buy side |
9.48 -1.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
9.26 -4.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 9.42 | 2 in 10 days | 9.91 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 9.48 | 3 in 10 days | 9.85 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 9.53 | 4 in 10 days | 9.79 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 9.13 | 2 in 10 weeks | 10.22 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 9.26 | 3 in 10 weeks | 10.08 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 9.38 | 4 in 10 weeks | 9.95 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From MFG's daily swings (about 2.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -3.0% | +2.9% | — | — |
| Oct 14, 2026 | -3.2% | -2.4% | — | — |
| Oct 1, 2026 | -2.6% | -0.8% | -10.2% | — |
| Aug 19, 2026 | -4.8% | +3.1% | +7.9% | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | -2.3% | +3.5% | +4.6% | — |
| Jul 28, 2026 | -4.5% | +2.5% | +3.6% | -5.7% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -3.2% | +2.4% | +5.3% | -0.6% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -4.6% | -1.0% | +9.2% | +12.3% |
Big drop and big gain: among MFG's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 22, 2007 |
13.85 +41.8% |
| 52-week closing high Sep 11, 2026 |
11.45 +17.3% |
| 50-day average | 10.60 +8.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 10.08 +3.2% |
| Now | 9.77 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
9.66 -1.1% |
| 200-day average | 9.54 -2.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 9.26 -5.2% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
6.45 -33.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 20 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.