MOG-A
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- MOG-A −1.63% on the last session vs SPY −0.00%: −1.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices MOG-A only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
377.24 +1.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
386.05 +4.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 364.23 · prior close 370.26 | |
| Bargain buy side |
363.41 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
355.12 -4.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 361.21 | 2 in 10 days | 379.53 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 363.41 | 3 in 10 days | 377.24 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 365.47 | 4 in 10 days | 375.11 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 350.34 | 2 in 10 weeks | 391.32 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 355.12 | 3 in 10 weeks | 386.05 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 359.64 | 4 in 10 weeks | 381.20 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From MOG-A's daily swings (about 1.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among MOG-A's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 17, 2026 |
445.38 +22.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 386.05 +6.0% |
| 50-day average | 383.21 +5.2% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
370.26 +1.7% |
| Now | 364.23 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 355.12 -2.5% |
| 200-day average | 347.68 -4.5% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 18, 2025 |
194.79 -46.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 46 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.