MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
TECHBuyZACKSStrong Buy
R500#200 today
$422.33
+0.52% today · +7.32% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Moving with the market
- MPC +0.52% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (Oct 1): After its 61 big gains in the past 5 years, MPC typically gained 2.1% over the next month (median) and was higher 64% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -3.2% and +9.7%. An ordinary month: +4.0%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #149 of 500.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Nov 3
Before the open · in 30 days
EPS estimate
$23.13
$14.61 to $28.78 · 17 analysts
Revenue estimate
$42.6B
$25.7B to $56.7B
Track record
7/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±3.6% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $13.95 | $17.73 | +$3.78 (+27.1%) beat | $52.3B | +1.8% 0.0 vs SPY | +0.6% | +4.3% |
| May 5, 2026 BMO | 1Q2026 | $0.75 | $1.65 | +$0.90 (>+100%) beat | $34.6B | +3.2% +2.4 vs SPY | +1.4% | 0.0% |
| Feb 3, 2026 BMO | 4Q2025 | $2.71 | $4.07 | +$1.36 (+50.1%) beat | $33.4B | +6.0% +6.9 vs SPY | +2.1% | +15.5% |
| Nov 4, 2025 BMO | 3Q2025 | $3.16 | $3.01 | −$0.15 (−4.9%) miss | $35.8B | -6.1% -4.9 vs SPY | -8.5% | +0.3% |
| Aug 5, 2025 BMO | $3.22 | $3.96 | +$0.74 (+23.0%) beat | — | +0.6% +1.1 vs SPY | +0.9% | -5.6% | |
| May 6, 2025 BMO | −$0.54 | −$0.24 | +$0.30 (+55.6%) beat | — | +0.8% +1.7 vs SPY | +1.0% | +10.3% | |
| Feb 4, 2025 BMO | $0.02 | $0.77 | +$0.75 beat | — | +6.7% +6.1 vs SPY | 0.0% | +4.6% | |
| Nov 5, 2024 BMO | $1.09 | $1.87 | +$0.78 (+71.6%) beat | — | +3.2% +2.0 vs SPY | +5.1% | +7.7% | |
| Aug 6, 2024 BMO | $3.09 | $4.12 | +$1.03 (+33.3%) beat | — | +5.5% +4.5 vs SPY | +2.0% | +8.8% | |
| Apr 30, 2024 BMO | $2.58 | $2.58 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | -9.4% -7.8 vs SPY | -3.0% | -8.8% | |
| Jan 30, 2024 BMO | $2.22 | $3.98 | +$1.76 (+79.3%) beat | — | +6.1% +6.2 vs SPY | +1.3% | +6.9% | |
| Oct 31, 2023 BMO | $7.75 | $8.14 | +$0.39 (+5.0%) beat | — | +3.0% +2.4 vs SPY | +1.1% | +2.1% | |
| Aug 1, 2023 BMO | $4.59 | $5.32 | +$0.73 (+15.9%) beat | — | +1.4% +1.7 vs SPY | -0.9% | +5.2% | |
| May 2, 2023 BMO | $5.60 | $6.09 | +$0.49 (+8.8%) beat | — | -4.5% -3.4 vs SPY | -0.4% | -11.2% | |
| Jan 31, 2023 BMO | $5.63 | $6.65 | +$1.02 (+18.1%) beat | — | -0.5% -1.9 vs SPY | +1.9% | -9.9% | |
| Nov 1, 2022 BMO | $7.02 | $7.81 | +$0.79 (+11.3%) beat | — | +4.9% +5.3 vs SPY | +0.2% | +5.2% | |
| Aug 2, 2022 BMO | $8.50 | $10.61 | +$2.11 (+24.8%) beat | — | +3.6% +4.3 vs SPY | +0.6% | +0.1% | |
| May 3, 2022 BMO | $1.28 | $1.45 | +$0.17 (+13.3%) beat | — | +4.0% +3.5 vs SPY | -0.5% | +1.9% | |
| Feb 2, 2022 BMO | $0.56 | $1.30 | +$0.74 (>+100%) beat | — | +6.0% +5.1 vs SPY | +3.1% | +7.1% | |
| Nov 2, 2021 BMO | $0.70 | $0.73 | +$0.03 (+4.3%) beat | — | -3.9% -4.3 vs SPY | -0.4% | -2.4% | |
| Aug 4, 2021 BMO | $0.38 | $0.67 | +$0.29 (+76.3%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| May 4, 2021 BMO | −$0.71 | −$0.20 | +$0.51 (+71.8%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Feb 2, 2021 BMO | −$1.24 | −$0.94 | +$0.30 (+24.2%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Nov 2, 2020 BMO | −$1.74 | −$1.00 | +$0.74 (+42.5%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $23.13 (17) | $14.61 – $28.78 | +668% | +138.3% | ▲8 ▼0 | $42.6B | +19% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $16.34 (16) | $2.54 – $28.74 | +301% | +161.0% | ▲7 ▼0 | $40.9B | +22% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $57.41 (17) | $42.11 – $73.22 | +437% | +88.6% | ▲9 ▼0 | $169.6B | +25% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $49.60 (19) | $21.77 – $91.92 | -14% | +106.7% | ▲11 ▼0 | $150.2B | -11% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.