MRVI
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices MRVI only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
8.20 +5.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
8.71 +11.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 7.81 | |
| Bargain buy side |
7.44 -4.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
7.00 -10.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 7.32 | 2 in 10 days | 8.33 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 7.44 | 3 in 10 days | 8.20 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 7.55 | 4 in 10 days | 8.08 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 6.76 | 2 in 10 weeks | 9.02 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 7.00 | 3 in 10 weeks | 8.71 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 7.24 | 4 in 10 weeks | 8.43 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From MRVI's daily swings (about 5.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -6.6% | +19.7% | — | — |
| Oct 6, 2026 | -7.9% | -16.8% | — | — |
| Aug 27, 2026 | -6.0% | -11.9% | -8.8% | — |
| May 13, 2026 | -6.2% | +1.4% | +14.0% | +32.3% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | -6.5% | +6.7% | +27.5% | +95.9% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | -7.4% | +3.1% | +24.5% | +123.4% |
| Mar 12, 2026 | -7.3% | -7.9% | -7.0% | +58.4% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | -5.5% | -2.3% | +17.5% | +27.5% |
Big drop and big gain: among MRVI's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Aug 20, 2021 |
60.62 +676.2% |
| 52-week closing high Aug 25, 2026 |
9.00 +15.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 8.71 +11.5% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
7.81 |
| 50-day average | 7.50 -4.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 7.00 -10.3% |
| 200-day average | 5.24 -33.0% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 31, 2026 |
2.83 -63.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.