NDSN
Moving with the market
- NDSN −0.56% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −0.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices NDSN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
332.39 +1.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
336.96 +2.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 326.90 · prior close 328.73 | |
| Bargain buy side |
325.11 -1.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
320.70 -2.4% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 323.95 | 2 in 10 days | 333.58 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 325.11 | 3 in 10 days | 332.39 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 326.20 | 4 in 10 days | 331.28 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 318.13 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 339.68 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 320.70 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 336.96 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 323.11 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 334.45 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From NDSN's daily swings (about 1.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among NDSN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 375.00 +14.7% |
| Mean analyst target | 349.71 +7.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 336.96 +3.1% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 5, 2026 |
334.43 +2.3% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
328.73 +0.6% |
| Now | 326.90 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 320.70 -1.9% |
| 50-day average | 320.19 -2.1% |
| 200-day average | 289.72 -11.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 282.00 -13.7% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 18, 2025 |
223.90 -31.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.