NGL
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices NGL only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
16.76 +2.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
17.19 +4.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 16.52 · prior close 16.42 | |
| Bargain buy side |
16.09 -2.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
15.69 -4.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 15.98 | 2 in 10 days | 16.87 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 16.09 | 3 in 10 days | 16.76 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 16.19 | 4 in 10 days | 16.65 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 15.46 | 2 in 10 weeks | 17.44 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 15.69 | 3 in 10 weeks | 17.19 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 15.91 | 4 in 10 weeks | 16.95 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From NGL's daily swings (about 2.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among NGL's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jun 17, 2014 |
21.02 +27.2% |
| 52-week closing high Aug 31, 2026 |
18.97 +14.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 17.19 +4.0% |
| Now | 16.52 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
16.42 -0.6% |
| 50-day average | 16.29 -1.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 15.69 -5.0% |
| 200-day average | 14.86 -10.1% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 30, 2025 |
6.45 -61.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 15 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.