NU
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices NU only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
13.30 +5.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
14.23 +13.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 12.59 | |
| Bargain buy side |
11.92 -5.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
11.14 -11.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 11.71 | 2 in 10 days | 13.53 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 11.92 | 3 in 10 days | 13.30 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 12.12 | 4 in 10 days | 13.08 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 10.71 | 2 in 10 weeks | 14.80 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 11.14 | 3 in 10 weeks | 14.23 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 11.56 | 4 in 10 weeks | 13.71 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From NU's daily swings (about 5.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 26 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 26 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | -4.2% | +0.8% | — | — |
| Sep 23, 2026 | -3.8% | -7.0% | +8.1% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -3.9% | +7.5% | -13.6% | — |
| Aug 17, 2026 | -3.2% | +0.1% | -6.3% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -4.4% | +3.1% | +6.0% | — |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -3.2% | +2.8% | +6.4% | +11.5% |
| Jun 2, 2026 | -8.2% | -0.4% | +14.1% | +21.2% |
| May 22, 2026 | -3.3% | +2.0% | -2.1% | +15.9% |
Big drop and big gain: among NU's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 23.00 +82.7% |
| Mean analyst target | 18.97 +50.7% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jan 28, 2026 |
18.76 +49.0% |
| 200-day average | 14.56 +15.6% |
| 50-day average | 14.52 +15.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 14.23 +13.0% |
| Last close Oct 26, 2026 |
12.59 |
| Lowest analyst target | 12.00 -4.7% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 8, 2026 |
11.60 -7.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 11.14 -11.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.