NVT
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices NVT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
130.77 +4.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
137.73 +9.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 125.40 | |
| Bargain buy side |
120.25 -4.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
114.17 -9.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 118.62 | 2 in 10 days | 132.56 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 120.25 | 3 in 10 days | 130.77 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 121.79 | 4 in 10 days | 129.12 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 110.75 | 2 in 10 weeks | 141.99 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 114.17 | 3 in 10 weeks | 137.73 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 117.46 | 4 in 10 weeks | 133.87 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From NVT's daily swings (about 4.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 23 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 23 close
Big drop and big gain: among NVT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 22, 2026 |
183.79 +46.6% |
| 50-day average | 155.74 +24.2% |
| 200-day average | 143.75 +14.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 137.73 +9.8% |
| Last close Oct 23, 2026 |
125.40 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 114.17 -9.0% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 17, 2025 |
94.39 -24.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 8 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.