OGC
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices OGC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
24.82 +2.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
25.73 +6.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 24.89 · prior close 24.11 | |
| Bargain buy side |
23.42 -2.9% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
22.59 -6.3% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 23.20 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 25.06 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 23.42 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 24.82 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 23.63 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 24.60 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 22.12 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 26.27 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 22.59 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 25.73 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 23.04 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 25.23 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From OGC's daily swings (about 3.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -5.5% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Oct 14, 2026 | -6.0% | +4.9% | — | — |
| Sep 23, 2026 | -3.9% | -1.5% | -9.6% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -4.4% | +1.8% | -7.9% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -6.7% | +14.2% | +5.2% | — |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -3.9% | +4.3% | +26.7% | +13.3% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -4.8% | -3.5% | +9.4% | +8.8% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | -4.2% | -6.0% | -11.2% | +7.9% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among OGC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Mar 2, 2026 |
42.25 +69.8% |
| 200-day average | 30.07 +20.8% |
| 50-day average | 27.88 +12.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 25.73 +3.4% |
| Now | 24.89 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
24.11 -3.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 22.59 -9.2% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
20.99 -15.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 18 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.