OMC
Moving with its group (XLC +1.2%)
- OMC +1.42% on the last session vs SPY +0.09%: +1.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Tue (date not confirmed): EPS $2.67 expected (6 analysts); it moved ±4.9% on average after its last 8 reports.
- The communications ETF (XLC) +1.2% (+1.1 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg (Oct 12): After its 11 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, OMC was higher a day later 7 times out of 11; half the outcomes fell between -0.3% and +2.4%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Equal-Weight, lowered target $90.00 → $88.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices OMC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
79.58 +1.5% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
81.04 +3.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 79.52 · prior close 78.41 | |
| Bargain buy side |
77.26 -1.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
75.87 -3.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 76.89 | 2 in 10 days | 79.96 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 77.26 | 3 in 10 days | 79.58 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 77.61 | 4 in 10 days | 79.22 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 75.06 | 2 in 10 weeks | 81.91 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 75.87 | 3 in 10 weeks | 81.04 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 76.63 | 4 in 10 weeks | 80.23 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From OMC's daily swings (about 1.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among OMC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 141.00 +77.3% |
| Mean analyst target | 102.00 +28.3% |
| All-time closing high Oct 16, 2024 |
97.80 +23.0% |
| 52-week closing high Aug 24, 2026 |
88.03 +10.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 81.04 +1.9% |
| 50-day average | 80.51 +1.2% |
| Now | 79.52 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
78.41 -1.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 77.00 -3.2% |
| 200-day average | 76.80 -3.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 75.87 -4.6% |
| 52-week closing low Feb 12, 2026 |
65.23 -18.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.