OXY
Moving with its oil & gas peers
- OXY −1.47% on the last session vs SPY +0.06%: −1.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- Oil & gas basket -1.0% (-1.0 pts vs SPY; CVX -1.3%, XOM -1.3%, COP -0.4%): the stock moved with its peers.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices OXY only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
62.56 +1.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
64.01 +4.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 60.51 · prior close 61.41 | |
| Bargain buy side |
60.28 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
58.91 -4.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 59.92 | 2 in 10 days | 62.94 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 60.28 | 3 in 10 days | 62.56 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 60.62 | 4 in 10 days | 62.21 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 58.12 | 2 in 10 weeks | 64.88 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 58.91 | 3 in 10 weeks | 64.01 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 59.66 | 4 in 10 weeks | 63.21 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From OXY's daily swings (about 1.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among OXY's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 82.00 +35.5% |
| All-time closing high May 2, 2011 |
71.17 +17.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 68.40 +13.0% |
| 52-week closing high Mar 30, 2026 |
65.63 +8.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 64.01 +5.8% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
61.41 +1.5% |
| Now | 60.51 |
| 50-day average | 59.06 -2.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 58.91 -2.6% |
| Lowest analyst target | 55.00 -9.1% |
| 200-day average | 54.52 -9.9% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 16, 2025 |
38.38 -36.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 45 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.