PAA
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PAA only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
26.81 +1.1% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 28% |
27.18 +2.5% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 27% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 25.82 · prior close 26.51 | |
| Bargain buy side |
26.22 -1.1% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
25.86 -2.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 26.12 | 2 in 10 days | 26.90 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 26.22 | 3 in 10 days | 26.81 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 28% |
| Eager | 26.31 | 4 in 10 days | 26.72 | 4 in 10 days↓ 43% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 25.65 | 2 in 10 weeks | 27.40 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 25.86 | 3 in 10 weeks | 27.18 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 27% vs 30% |
| Eager | 26.06 | 4 in 10 weeks | 26.97 | 5 in 10 weeks↓ 45% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PAA's daily swings (about 1.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 27% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | +2.8% | +1.1% | — | — |
| Aug 20, 2026 | +2.5% | +3.7% | +1.6% | — |
| Jul 20, 2026 | +1.8% | -0.1% | +1.2% | +5.6% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | +1.7% | -0.3% | +0.9% | +11.7% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | +2.0% | +0.5% | -3.4% | -1.6% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | +0.6% | -0.4% | +4.7% | +14.8% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | +1.8% | -0.5% | +8.3% | +10.4% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | +0.7% | -3.2% | -3.2% | -17.5% |
Big drop and big gain: among PAA's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 27.18 +5.3% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 30, 2026 |
26.51 +2.7% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
26.51 +2.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 25.86 +0.2% |
| Now | 25.82 |
| 50-day average | 24.88 -3.6% |
| 200-day average | 22.12 -14.3% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 3, 2025 |
15.16 -41.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 28 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.