PACS
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PACS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
48.93 +2.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
50.35 +5.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 46.16 · prior close 47.81 | |
| Bargain buy side |
46.72 -2.3% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
45.40 -5.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 46.37 | 2 in 10 days | 49.30 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 46.72 | 3 in 10 days | 48.93 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 47.05 | 4 in 10 days | 48.59 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 44.65 | 2 in 10 weeks | 51.20 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 45.40 | 3 in 10 weeks | 50.35 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 46.12 | 4 in 10 weeks | 49.56 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PACS's daily swings (about 2.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | -5.5% | -1.3% | +6.9% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -3.4% | -0.6% | -1.2% | — |
| Aug 11, 2026 | -7.2% | -2.6% | -0.2% | — |
| Jun 29, 2026 | -4.7% | +9.2% | +16.3% | +7.8% |
| Jun 8, 2026 | -5.2% | +3.4% | +25.0% | +24.5% |
| May 29, 2026 | -3.6% | +1.0% | +16.3% | +16.6% |
| May 11, 2026 | -5.0% | +15.4% | +7.6% | +40.9% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | -6.0% | -1.7% | +14.7% | +40.2% |
Big drop and big gain: among PACS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 50.35 +9.1% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 29, 2026 |
49.68 +7.6% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
47.81 +3.6% |
| Now | 46.16 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 45.40 -1.6% |
| 50-day average | 44.22 -4.2% |
| 200-day average | 39.75 -13.9% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 14, 2025 |
10.58 -77.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 3 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.