PAGP

R500#480 today EARNINGSFri BMO

$27.59 -2.82% today · -3.03% 1W

Nov 2 close or latest

Why it's movingUnderperforming without a clear catalyst yetReadout ›

Bargain & stretch prices

Prices PAGP only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.

TodayNext 5 sessionsToday so far

	Today	Next 5 sessions
Stretch sell side	28.67 +1.0% reached 3 in 10 days	29.01 +2.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks
Now	27.59 · prior close 28.39
Bargain buy side	28.12 -1.0% reached 3 in 10 days reached today	27.78 -2.1% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27%

More patient or more eager

	Bargain	Reached	Stretch	Reached
Today
Patient	28.03	2 in 10 days	28.76	2 in 10 days
Balanced	28.12	3 in 10 days	28.67	3 in 10 days
Eager	28.20	4 in 10 days	28.58	5 in 10 days
Next 5 sessions
Patient	27.58	2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18%	29.22	2 in 10 weeks
Balanced	27.78	3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27%	29.01	3 in 10 weeks
Eager	27.96	4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43%	28.82	5 in 10 weeks

"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PAGP's daily swings (about 1.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.

Situations on the Oct 30 close

Within 2% of its 52-week high odds adjusted

Near its 52-week high, the 5-session bargain price was reached a little more often than usual, so the bargain & stretch odds above are adjusted (marked in gold):

Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)

Big drop and big gain: among PAGP's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.

Price ladder

All-time closing high Jun 30, 2014	36.42 +32.0%
Stretch, next 5 sessions	29.01 +5.2%
52-week closing high Oct 26, 2026	28.45 +3.1%
Previous close Oct 30, 2026	28.39 +2.9%
Bargain, next 5 sessions	27.78 +0.7%
Now	27.59
50-day average	27.06 -1.9%
200-day average	23.95 -13.2%
52-week closing low Nov 3, 2025	16.04 -41.9%

Closing prices (all-time = the 13 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.