PAYX
Paychex, Inc. · Technology · Software - Application
TECHSellZACKSHold
R500#466 today
$98.94
-1.88% today · -2.40% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- PAYX −1.88% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −2.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 2): After its 65 big drops in the past 5 years, PAYX typically gained 1.3% over the next month (median) and was higher 54% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -3.3% and +6.6%. An ordinary month: +0.1%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #292 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Dec 18
In 75 days
estimated date
EPS estimate
$1.28
$1.24 to $1.31 · 18 analysts
Revenue estimate
$1.6B
$1.6B to $1.6B
Track record
7/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±4.0% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 BMO | 1Q2027 | $1.32 | $1.34 | +$0.02 (+1.6%) beat | $1.6B | -8.8% -8.1 vs SPY | -4.2% | -13.3% |
| Jun 24, 2026 BMO | 4Q2026 | $1.31 | $1.32 | +$0.01 (+0.9%) beat | $1.6B | -1.7% -1.7 vs SPY | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| Mar 25, 2026 BMO | 3Q2026 | $1.67 | $1.71 | +$0.04 (+2.3%) beat | $1.8B | +3.0% +2.5 vs SPY | +5.1% | +1.7% |
| Dec 19, 2025 BMO | 2Q2026 | $1.23 | $1.26 | +$0.03 (+2.4%) beat | $1.6B | -1.7% -2.6 vs SPY | -0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sep 30, 2025 BMO | $1.20 | $1.22 | +$0.02 (+1.7%) beat | — | -1.4% -1.8 vs SPY | -5.4% | -3.2% | |
| Jun 25, 2025 BMO | $1.20 | $1.19 | −$0.01 (−0.8%) miss | — | -9.4% -9.5 vs SPY | -4.6% | -3.2% | |
| Mar 26, 2025 BMO | $1.48 | $1.49 | +$0.01 (+0.7%) beat | — | +4.2% +5.4 vs SPY | +3.2% | +7.3% | |
| Dec 19, 2024 BMO | $1.12 | $1.14 | +$0.02 (+1.8%) beat | — | +1.4% +1.5 vs SPY | +3.7% | +5.0% | |
| Oct 1, 2024 BMO | $1.14 | $1.16 | +$0.02 (+1.8%) beat | — | +4.9% +5.8 vs SPY | +2.6% | +2.4% | |
| Jun 26, 2024 BMO | $1.10 | $1.12 | +$0.02 (+1.8%) beat | — | -6.1% -6.2 vs SPY | 0.0% | -5.3% | |
| Apr 2, 2024 BMO | $1.37 | $1.38 | +$0.01 (+0.7%) beat | — | +0.4% +1.0 vs SPY | -4.2% | +1.8% | |
| Dec 21, 2023 BMO | $1.07 | $1.08 | +$0.01 (+0.9%) beat | — | -7.0% -8.0 vs SPY | -4.4% | -6.5% | |
| Sep 27, 2023 BMO | $1.12 | $1.14 | +$0.02 (+1.8%) beat | — | +3.4% +3.3 vs SPY | -0.2% | +1.4% | |
| Jun 29, 2023 BMO | $0.97 | $0.97 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | -1.2% -1.6 vs SPY | +3.3% | +2.7% | |
| Mar 29, 2023 BMO | $1.24 | $1.29 | +$0.05 (+4.0%) beat | — | +6.5% +5.0 vs SPY | +1.4% | +0.8% | |
| Dec 22, 2022 BMO | $0.96 | $0.99 | +$0.03 (+3.1%) beat | — | -2.3% -0.8 vs SPY | -3.3% | +1.5% | |
| Sep 28, 2022 BMO | $0.97 | $1.03 | +$0.06 (+6.2%) beat | — | +3.6% +1.6 vs SPY | +2.9% | +1.8% | |
| Jun 29, 2022 BMO | $0.79 | $0.81 | +$0.02 (+2.5%) beat | — | -4.2% -4.1 vs SPY | -3.1% | -2.4% | |
| Mar 30, 2022 BMO | $1.05 | $1.15 | +$0.10 (+9.5%) beat | — | +3.3% +3.9 vs SPY | -0.4% | +5.1% | |
| Dec 22, 2021 BMO | $0.80 | $0.91 | +$0.11 (+13.7%) beat | — | +5.5% +4.5 vs SPY | +2.7% | +8.7% | |
| Sep 30, 2021 BMO | $0.80 | $0.89 | +$0.09 (+11.2%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jun 25, 2021 BMO | $0.67 | $0.72 | +$0.05 (+7.5%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 6, 2021 BMO | $0.92 | $0.96 | +$0.04 (+4.3%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Dec 23, 2020 BMO | $0.66 | $0.73 | +$0.07 (+10.6%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Nov 30, 2026 | $1.28 (18) | $1.24 – $1.31 | +1% | -6.4% | ▲0 ▼13 | $1.6B | +4% |
| Next quarter · Feb 28, 2027 | $1.87 (18) | $1.85 – $1.92 | +9% | +2.1% | ▲11 ▼2 | $1.9B | +6% |
| Current year · May 31, 2027 | $5.96 (19) | $5.93 – $6.00 | +8% | -0.1% | ▲5 ▼7 | $6.9B | +5% |
| Next year · May 31, 2028 | $6.39 (19) | $6.00 – $6.50 | +7% | 0.0% | ▲4 ▼7 | $7.2B | +5% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.