PCG
Moving with the market
- PCG −0.65% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −0.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Oct 22 before the open: EPS $0.43 expected (11 analysts); it moved ±1.3% on average after its last 8 reports.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PCG only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
13.54 +2.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
14.03 +6.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 13.06 · prior close 13.15 | |
| Bargain buy side |
12.77 -2.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
12.32 -6.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 12.65 | 2 in 10 days | 13.67 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 12.77 | 3 in 10 days | 13.54 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 12.89 | 4 in 10 days | 13.42 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 12.07 | 2 in 10 weeks | 14.33 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 12.32 | 3 in 10 weeks | 14.03 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 12.57 | 4 in 10 weeks | 13.76 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PCG's daily swings (about 3.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among PCG's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Sep 11, 2017 |
69.50 +431.9% |
| Highest analyst target | 24.00 +83.7% |
| 52-week closing high Mar 2, 2026 |
18.92 +44.8% |
| Mean analyst target | 18.75 +43.5% |
| 200-day average | 16.29 +24.7% |
| 50-day average | 14.58 +11.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 14.03 +7.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 14.00 +7.2% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
13.15 +0.7% |
| Now | 13.06 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 12.32 -5.7% |
| 52-week closing low Sep 28, 2026 |
11.90 -8.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 54 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.