PGR
Progressive Corporation (The) · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
ZACKSHoldTECHSell
R500#346 today
$210.31
-0.31% today · +2.39% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- PGR −0.31% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −1.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals. The news-reading agent will explain the move with timestamped sources, and say so when there is no clear catalyst.
Next report
Oct 14
Before the open · in 11 days
EPS estimate
$4.20
$3.47 to $4.76 · 19 analysts
Revenue estimate
$22.4B
$22.1B to $22.5B
Track record
5/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±2.8% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | Surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $4.84 | $4.85 | +0.3% beat | $21.1B | -9.4% -9.8 vs SPY | -8.2% | -9.1% |
| Apr 15, 2026 BMO | 1Q2026 | $4.88 | $4.96 | +1.6% beat | $23.6B | +2.4% +1.6 vs SPY | +1.3% | +5.5% |
| Jan 28, 2026 BMO | 4Q2025 | $4.43 | $4.67 | +5.3% beat | $19.5B | +2.2% +2.2 vs SPY | -1.0% | -3.4% |
| Oct 15, 2025 BMO | 3Q2025 | $5.05 | $4.05 | -19.7% miss | $21.4B | -5.8% -6.2 vs SPY | -5.9% | -7.8% |
| Jul 16, 2025 BMO | $4.43 | $4.88 | +10.2% beat | — | +1.8% +1.4 vs SPY | +1.2% | +2.1% | |
| Apr 16, 2025 BMO | $4.78 | $4.65 | -2.7% miss | — | -0.3% +1.9 vs SPY | +1.8% | -4.0% | |
| Jan 28, 2025 AMC | $3.56 | $4.08 | +14.6% beat | — | +0.6% +1.0 vs SPY | -2.7% | +1.2% | |
| Oct 15, 2024 BMO | $3.67 | $3.58 | -2.5% miss | — | -0.1% +0.7 vs SPY | +0.8% | -0.5% | |
| Jul 16, 2024 BMO | $2.01 | $2.65 | +31.8% beat | — | -3.3% -3.9 vs SPY | +2.5% | -0.4% | |
| Apr 12, 2024 BMO | $3.21 | $3.76 | +17.1% beat | — | +0.8% +2.2 vs SPY | +2.8% | +3.7% | |
| Jan 24, 2024 BMO | $2.43 | $2.97 | +22.2% beat | — | +4.7% +4.6 vs SPY | +6.6% | +5.5% | |
| Oct 31, 2023 BMO | $1.71 | $2.11 | +23.4% beat | — | +1.9% +1.2 vs SPY | 0.0% | +2.0% | |
| Aug 1, 2023 — | $0.84 | $0.42 | -50.0% miss | — | -1.6% -0.2 vs SPY | +0.1% | -0.7% | |
| Apr 13, 2023 BMO | $1.35 | $0.66 | -51.1% miss | — | -6.7% -8.0 vs SPY | -4.9% | -6.2% | |
| Jan 25, 2023 BMO | $1.43 | $1.51 | +5.6% beat | — | +4.9% +4.8 vs SPY | -0.5% | +5.5% | |
| Oct 13, 2022 BMO | $0.92 | $0.53 | -42.4% miss | — | +0.8% -1.8 vs SPY | -6.5% | -0.2% | |
| Jul 15, 2022 BMO | $0.93 | $0.79 | -15.1% miss | — | +3.3% +1.4 vs SPY | +2.5% | -0.9% | |
| Apr 14, 2022 — | $1.24 | $1.15 | -7.3% miss | — | -2.2% -2.2 vs SPY | -2.2% | -3.4% | |
| Jan 26, 2022 BMO | $1.02 | $1.08 | +5.9% beat | — | -1.5% -1.3 vs SPY | +2.3% | -1.1% | |
| Oct 14, 2021 — | $0.22 | $0.15 | -31.8% miss | — | +1.4% +0.6 vs SPY | +0.6% | +5.1% | |
| Jul 15, 2021 BMO | $1.05 | $0.71 | -32.4% miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 15, 2021 — | $1.72 | $1.72 | 0.0% in line | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 27, 2021 BMO | $1.69 | $1.84 | +8.9% beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 14, 2020 BMO | $1.69 | $1.88 | +11.2% beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $4.20 (19) | $3.47 – $4.76 | +4% | +14.0% | ▲18 ▼2 | $22.4B | +5% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $4.13 (19) | $3.43 – $5.11 | -12% | -0.6% | ▲10 ▼10 | $20.3B | +4% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $18.10 (23) | $17.04 – $19.28 | -1% | +4.6% | ▲18 ▼1 | $87.5B | +5% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $16.24 (23) | $14.45 – $18.15 | -10% | -1.2% | ▲9 ▼6 | $92.2B | +5% |
Consensus as of Oct 3, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.