PH
Moving with the market
- PH −0.27% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −0.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: JP Morgan maintained Overweight, lowered target $1,140 → $1,131.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PH only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
968.76 +1.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
984.37 +2.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 953.77 · prior close 956.32 | |
| Bargain buy side |
944.04 -1.3% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
929.07 -2.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 940.08 | 2 in 10 days | 972.84 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 944.04 | 3 in 10 days | 968.76 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 947.74 | 4 in 10 days | 964.98 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 920.39 | 2 in 10 weeks | 993.65 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 929.07 | 3 in 10 weeks | 984.37 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 937.24 | 4 in 10 weeks | 975.79 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PH's daily swings (about 1.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among PH's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 1,358.00 +42.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 1,154.91 +21.1% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 7, 2026 |
1,071.71 +12.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 984.37 +3.2% |
| 50-day average | 983.50 +3.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
956.32 +0.3% |
| Now | 953.77 |
| 200-day average | 945.76 -0.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 929.07 -2.6% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 16, 2025 |
720.16 -24.5% |
| Lowest analyst target | 680.00 -28.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.