PHI
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PHI only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
18.14 +2.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
18.59 +4.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 17.78 | |
| Bargain buy side |
17.43 -2.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
17.01 -4.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 17.32 | 2 in 10 days | 18.25 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 17.43 | 3 in 10 days | 18.14 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 17.54 | 4 in 10 days | 18.03 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 16.76 | 2 in 10 weeks | 18.86 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 17.01 | 3 in 10 weeks | 18.59 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 17.24 | 4 in 10 weeks | 18.34 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PHI's daily swings (about 2.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among PHI's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Sep 5, 2014 |
38.96 +119.1% |
| 52-week closing high Feb 11, 2026 |
22.67 +27.5% |
| 200-day average | 19.15 +7.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 18.59 +4.5% |
| 50-day average | 18.28 +2.8% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
17.78 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 17.01 -4.3% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 10, 2026 |
16.66 -6.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 54 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.