PK
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PK only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
16.87 +1.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
17.20 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 16.93 · prior close 16.60 | |
| Bargain buy side |
16.34 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
16.02 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 16.25 | 2 in 10 days | 16.96 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 16.34 | 3 in 10 days | 16.87 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 16.42 | 4 in 10 days | 16.79 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 15.83 | 2 in 10 weeks | 17.40 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 16.02 | 3 in 10 weeks | 17.20 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 16.19 | 4 in 10 weeks | 17.02 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PK's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among PK's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high May 3, 2019 |
19.66 +16.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 17.20 +1.6% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 21, 2026 |
16.99 +0.4% |
| Now | 16.93 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
16.60 -1.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 16.02 -5.4% |
| 50-day average | 15.53 -8.3% |
| 200-day average | 12.90 -23.8% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
9.08 -46.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 10 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.