PKE
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- PKE −2.05% on the last session vs SPY +0.05%: −2.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Reported results Oct 8 after the close: EPS $0.12.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PKE only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
27.17 +3.2% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
28.26 +7.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 25.78 · prior close 26.32 | |
| Bargain buy side |
25.49 -3.1% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
24.51 -6.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 25.23 | 2 in 10 days | 27.46 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 25.49 | 3 in 10 days | 27.17 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 25.74 | 4 in 10 days | 26.91 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 23.95 | 2 in 10 weeks | 28.93 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 24.51 | 3 in 10 weeks | 28.26 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 25.04 | 4 in 10 weeks | 27.66 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PKE's daily swings (about 3.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | -2.7% | -10.0% | — | — |
| Sep 14, 2026 | -3.3% | -1.3% | -11.0% | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | -2.6% | -0.7% | -5.8% | — |
| Aug 19, 2026 | -3.7% | -7.6% | -14.6% | — |
| Jul 22, 2026 | -4.5% | -1.2% | +1.2% | — |
| Jul 10, 2026 | -7.5% | -3.6% | +9.5% | -11.5% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -2.6% | +17.6% | +6.1% | -7.4% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -2.4% | -5.1% | -0.2% | -8.3% |
Big drop and big gain: among PKE's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 1, 2026 |
38.07 +47.7% |
| 50-day average | 31.73 +23.1% |
| 200-day average | 30.45 +18.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 28.26 +9.6% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
26.32 +2.1% |
| Now | 25.78 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 24.51 -4.9% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 17, 2025 |
18.22 -29.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.