PLTR
Down on valuation concerns despite strong growth
- PLTR −0.80% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: −0.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- News: 247wallst.com reports Palantir's high valuation leaves no room to run despite revenue growth and AI momentum. (247wallst.com)
- Against the group: its software peers +2.7% (+2.7 pts vs SPY).
- Aftermath, rsi overbought (Oct 9): After its 20 overbought readings in the past 5 years, PLTR was higher a day later 8 times out of 20; half the outcomes fell between -1.2% and +2.2%. History, not a forecast.
- 21 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 75% positive over the week.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Goldman Sachs upgraded to Buy, target $230.
- 4 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PLTR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
206.58 +2.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
213.73 +6.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 199.36 · prior close 200.97 | |
| Bargain buy side |
195.51 -2.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
188.97 -6.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 193.77 | 2 in 10 days | 208.44 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 195.51 | 3 in 10 days | 206.58 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 197.15 | 4 in 10 days | 204.87 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 185.23 | 2 in 10 weeks | 218.05 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 188.97 | 3 in 10 weeks | 213.73 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 192.53 | 4 in 10 weeks | 209.78 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PLTR's daily swings (about 2.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among PLTR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 265.00 +32.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 213.73 +7.2% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 9, 2026 |
209.05 +4.9% |
| Mean analyst target | 205.27 +3.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
200.97 +0.8% |
| Now | 199.36 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 188.97 -5.2% |
| 50-day average | 181.94 -8.7% |
| 200-day average | 152.62 -23.4% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 25, 2026 |
107.27 -46.2% |
| Lowest analyst target | 80.00 -59.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.