PLUS
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PLUS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
94.36 +1.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
96.18 +3.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 92.65 · prior close 92.91 | |
| Bargain buy side |
91.48 -1.5% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
89.75 -3.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 91.02 | 2 in 10 days | 94.83 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 91.48 | 3 in 10 days | 94.36 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 91.91 | 4 in 10 days | 93.92 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 88.75 | 2 in 10 weeks | 97.27 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 89.75 | 3 in 10 weeks | 96.18 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 90.70 | 4 in 10 weeks | 95.18 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PLUS's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | -2.6% | +5.3% | — | — |
| Sep 8, 2026 | -2.5% | +2.7% | +3.3% | — |
| Aug 5, 2026 | -2.6% | -6.2% | -3.6% | — |
| Jul 14, 2026 | -2.7% | +2.0% | +1.3% | +8.7% |
| Jun 22, 2026 | -3.3% | +1.7% | +10.7% | +17.0% |
| May 29, 2026 | -7.4% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +7.0% |
| May 15, 2026 | -2.7% | +2.7% | -0.8% | +4.8% |
| May 6, 2026 | -4.2% | -0.3% | -1.4% | +8.6% |
Big drop and big gain: among PLUS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Oct 14, 2024 |
100.08 +8.0% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 13, 2026 |
96.93 +4.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 96.18 +3.8% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
92.91 +0.3% |
| Now | 92.65 |
| 50-day average | 91.80 -0.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 89.75 -3.1% |
| 200-day average | 85.42 -7.8% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 30, 2025 |
70.66 -23.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 30 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.