PLXS
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- PLXS −3.47% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: −3.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PLXS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
251.19 +2.2% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
258.12 +5.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 237.20 · prior close 245.72 | |
| Bargain buy side |
240.37 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
233.92 -4.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 238.66 | 2 in 10 days | 252.99 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 240.37 | 3 in 10 days | 251.19 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 241.98 | 4 in 10 days | 249.52 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 230.21 | 2 in 10 weeks | 262.28 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 233.92 | 3 in 10 weeks | 258.12 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 237.43 | 4 in 10 weeks | 254.30 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PLXS's daily swings (about 2.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | -6.2% | +5.3% | +7.6% | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | -2.9% | -8.4% | -9.2% | — |
| Jul 24, 2026 | -2.8% | -1.2% | -6.6% | — |
| Jul 13, 2026 | -3.1% | -2.5% | +4.4% | +1.4% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -3.5% | -6.8% | -13.4% | -10.1% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -5.0% | +4.2% | -9.3% | -8.8% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -4.0% | +8.1% | -2.6% | -9.9% |
| May 12, 2026 | -2.7% | -5.5% | +8.9% | +2.8% |
Big drop and big gain: among PLXS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 22, 2026 |
303.82 +28.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 258.12 +8.8% |
| 50-day average | 254.71 +7.4% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
245.72 +3.6% |
| Now | 237.20 |
| 200-day average | 236.53 -0.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 233.92 -1.4% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
132.74 -44.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 41 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.