POET
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices POET only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
5.45 +4.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
5.77 +11.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 5.20 | |
| Bargain buy side |
4.96 -4.5% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
4.69 -9.9% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 4.89 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 5.53 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 4.96 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 5.45 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 5.03 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 5.37 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 4.53 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 5.97 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 4.69 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 5.77 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 4.84 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 5.59 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From POET's daily swings (about 4.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | -8.0% | -13.9% | — | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -8.4% | +5.6% | +2.3% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -9.8% | -4.7% | -11.4% | — |
| Jul 24, 2026 | -9.3% | +1.5% | +12.5% | -22.6% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -7.3% | -0.9% | +24.9% | -23.9% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | -9.7% | -5.1% | -16.0% | -12.8% |
| Jun 16, 2026 | -9.2% | -15.7% | -41.6% | -41.5% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -23.4% | +5.6% | -28.2% | -33.2% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among POET's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Apr 16, 2014 |
25.00 +380.8% |
| 52-week closing high May 14, 2026 |
20.57 +295.6% |
| 200-day average | 8.26 +58.9% |
| 50-day average | 7.09 +36.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 5.77 +11.0% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
5.20 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 4.69 -9.9% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 17, 2025 |
4.17 -19.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 18 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.