PTC
Moving with the market
- PTC −0.17% on the last session vs SPY −0.00%: −0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- 10 analyst actions in the past 10 days (3 positive, 7 negative); latest: BMO Capital downgraded to Market Perform, raised target $164 → $205.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PTC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
205.30 +6.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
220.68 +14.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 193.32 · prior close 193.64 | |
| Bargain buy side |
182.64 -5.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
169.91 -12.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 179.21 | 2 in 10 days | 209.23 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 182.64 | 3 in 10 days | 205.30 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 185.91 | 4 in 10 days | 201.70 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 162.85 | 2 in 10 weeks | 230.25 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 169.91 | 3 in 10 weeks | 220.68 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 176.77 | 4 in 10 weeks | 212.12 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PTC's daily swings (about 6.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among PTC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 220.68 +14.2% |
| All-time closing high Aug 27, 2025 |
216.53 +12.0% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 20, 2025 |
205.87 +6.5% |
| Highest analyst target | 205.00 +6.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 201.00 +4.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
193.64 +0.2% |
| Now | 193.32 |
| Lowest analyst target | 170.00 -12.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 169.91 -12.1% |
| 50-day average | 153.15 -20.8% |
| 200-day average | 145.89 -24.5% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 23, 2026 |
112.33 -41.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 37 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.