RBNE
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices RBNE only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
0.24 +28.4% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% |
0.33 +75.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 0.19 | |
| Bargain buy side |
0.15 -22.1% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
0.11 -42.8% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 0.14 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 0.26 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 0.15 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 0.24 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 0.16 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 0.23 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 0.09 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 0.40 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 0.11 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 0.33 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 0.13 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 0.28 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From RBNE's daily swings (about 25.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 23 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 23 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | -59.8% | -75.6% | — | — |
| Sep 16, 2026 | -8.6% | +1.3% | -17.1% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -2.3% | +15.9% | +12.5% | — |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -21.4% | -24.2% | -68.7% | -72.0% |
| Jun 2, 2026 | -3.6% | 0.0% | -36.7% | -83.5% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among RBNE's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jun 13, 2025 |
1,050.00 +552531.6% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 23, 2025 |
102.75 +53978.9% |
| 200-day average | 21.34 +11132.7% |
| 50-day average | 2.24 +1077.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 0.33 +75.0% |
| Last close Oct 23, 2026 |
0.19 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 23, 2026 |
0.19 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 0.11 -42.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 2 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.